The level of new listings in January fell to the lowest levels seen since the late 90s. While new listings fell in nearly every price range, the pace of decline was higher for lower-priced properties.
At the same time, sales activity did slow compared to the high levels reported last year but remained consistent with long-term trends. However, there has been a shift in the composition of sales as detached homes only comprised 47% of all sales.
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Sales activity in June eased relative to the past several months and with 2,842 sales, levels declined by 2% over last year’s record high. While sales activity has remained relatively strong for June levels, the decline was driven by a pullback in detached and semi-detached home sales.
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Thanks to persistently strong sales, inventory levels in the city eased to 2,620 units, the lowest levels seen since 2006. This caused the months of supply to remain exceptionally low for this time of year at 1.3 months. The tight market conditions contributed to further upward pressure on prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in January reached $472,300, a monthly gain of nearly 2% and a year-over-year gain of 12%.
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With higher sales for both detached and semi-detached product, July sales totals rose above last year’s levels. Despite the improvements in July, year-to-date sales remain 15% lower than last year’s levels.
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The second quarter of 2020 marked the first full quarter since COVID-19 began to weigh on the economy.
Calgary housing sales slowed by 35% compared to the previous year. This is better than original expectations, thanks to June figures that were far stronger than initial estimates. The pullback in new listings in the second quarter caused inventories to trend down, preventing a more significant decline in prices.
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After three months where COVID-19 weighed heavily on the housing market, sales activity in June continued to trend up from the previous month, totalling 1,747 units.
Caution remains necessary, as monthly sales are nearly 2% lower than activity recorded last year. However, this represents a significant improvement compared to the past several months, where year-over-year declines exceeded 40%.
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After the first full month with social distancing measures in place, the housing market is adjusting to the effects of COVID-19. April sales hit 573 units, a decline of 63% over last year.
“The decline in home sales does not come as a surprise. The combined impact of COVID-19 and the situation in the energy sector is causing housing demand to fall,” said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.
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This month saw a double-digit gain in sales, but last February was one of the slowest levels of activity since the late ’90s.
With the extra day this February, monthly sales totaled 1,197 units. A combination of these two factors resulted in a 23 per cent improvement over last year, but sales remain well below longer-term trends and consistent with the lower levels reported over the past five years.
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Housing market conditions continue to follow similar trends to last year, with gains in sales. At the same time, there have been further reductions in new listings, inventory and more declines in prices.
January sales activity was 863 units, nearly 8% higher than last year’s levels. While sales remained well below January activity recorded before 2014, they remain consistent with activity recorded over the past five years.
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Since the oil price crash, Calgary has faced job losses, wage reductions and tightening national housing policy. These factors have all contributed to the slower sales environment, excess supply and citywide price adjustments of more than 10%.
However, as Calgary moves into the sixth year of this cycle, there are indications of adjustments to these conditions throughout the housing market.
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